Lauterach vs Nenzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
13º
1º
36
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lauterach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 2
LAU
16%
18%
66%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 0
FCH
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 1
LAU
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
RTB
5 - 1
LAU
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 1
SCG
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nenzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NEN
1 - 0
SCG
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
0 - 0
NEN
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NEN
3 - 3
HAR
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCH
1 - 1
NEN
22%
19%
58%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NEN
0 - 0
LUS
69%
17%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |