Lautaro de Buin vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
12º
10º
24
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GVE
6 - 2
LAU
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 1
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
REN
2 - 3
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
DLI
64%
21%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 3
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DLI
1 - 1
PUE
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |