Lautaro de Buin vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
13º
13º
8
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
LAU
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
TRA
43%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 1
LAU
36%
24%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 2
GVE
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
LAU
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 1
SAU
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 3
FVC
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 2
TRA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
FVC
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |