Lautaro de Buin vs Linares Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
12º
8º
23
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 0
LAU
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
SAU
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 3
FVC
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 1
LAU
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Linares Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
DLI
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
DLI
1 - 3
CDM
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 1
DLI
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DLI
1 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
REN
1 - 2
DLI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |