UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 9-1
Lausanne Sports vs Sant Julià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
SJU
1 - 3
LAU
34%
23%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 2
LAU
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
SIO
1 - 0
LAU
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
LAU
2 - 0
STG
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Julià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
SJU
1 - 3
LAU
34%
23%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
SJU
3 - 2
PRI
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
INT
0 - 2
SJU
49%
23%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
SJU
4 - 0
LUS
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2001 |
SCO
5 - 3
SJU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |