Lausanne Sports vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
10º
8º
38
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 55 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
45% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 33 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
54% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
46% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 4
LAU
3%
7%
90%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 1
LAU
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 7
LAU
3%
8%
90%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 4
STG
27%
23%
49%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAP
1 - 3
LUG
16%
19%
65%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 3
BJK
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 7
LUG
11%
16%
73%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |