Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-3
Lausanne Sports vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
LAU
0 - 1
STG
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
WAR
2 - 1
LAU
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 3
LAU
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
LAU
5 - 1
BEL
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
KAL
3 - 2
LAU
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
LKS
1 - 0
WAR
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
WAR
2 - 1
LAU
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
WAR
2 - 2
ZAG
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
BAL
0 - 1
WAR
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
WAR
4 - 1
VIF
59%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |