Lausanne U15 vs FC Thun U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
1º
12
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YOB
4 - 4
LAU
36%
21%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
SIO
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LCO
2 - 7
LAU
5%
11%
85%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 2
AFF
66%
17%
16%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
LAU
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
FC Thun U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
THU
3 - 5
YOB
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 1
SIO
53%
20%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFF
3 - 1
THU
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
NEX
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
THU
29%
21%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |