Lausanne Sport II vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
3º
1º
8
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sport II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DUD
0 - 6
LAU
34%
22%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CSC
2 - 1
LAU
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LAU
1 - 3
SEC
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THU
1 - 1
LAU
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LAU
1 - 1
MEY
46%
23%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 3
FCS
52%
20%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
STA
2 - 5
FRI
43%
24%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 1
FCC
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
NEX
2 - 1
FRI
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 1
TPA
49%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |