Launceston United vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.9%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
81.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
8º
8º
47
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
4 - 6
DEV
7%
12%
81%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 9
GLE
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
8 - 4
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
LAU
15%
17%
68%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
ROF
40%
22%
39%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 1
CZF
87%
8%
4%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KIN
1 - 3
SOU
33%
21%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
KIN
60%
19%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
0 - 2
SOU
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 0
GLE
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |