Launceston United vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
80.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
8º
8º
45
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 9
GLE
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
8 - 4
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
LAU
15%
17%
68%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
ROF
40%
22%
39%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 5
DEV
4%
10%
86%
|
6 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
CZF
84%
11%
6%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
0 - 2
SOU
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
KIN
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
DEV
12%
17%
71%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
4 - 3
DEV
13%
17%
71%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |