Launceston City vs Devonport City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Launceston City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HOB
4 - 4
LAU
76%
13%
11%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
0 - 3
DEV
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
LAU
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
LAU
51%
20%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
4 - 1
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DEV
1 - 0
OLY
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 4
DEV
7%
13%
81%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LAU
0 - 3
DEV
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 1
DEV
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DEV
7 - 1
NOR
90%
8%
3%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |