Latina vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
LAT
3 - 1
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 1
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
LAT
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LAT
2 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
LAT
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 0
USP
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 2
FCS
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |