Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
LASK vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
LAS
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LAS
2 - 0
FCB
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
LAS
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 1
RAP
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 6
LAS
5%
14%
82%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
GOS
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
ZRI
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
6 - 2
BRE
44%
23%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SBR
2 - 2
ZRI
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
SBR
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |