LASK vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
4º
3º
42
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 9 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
LAS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 2
LAS
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
LAS
3 - 2
ESK
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
LAS
27%
24%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LAS
0 - 2
RBS
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
LAS
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
RAP
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
STR
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
STR
4 - 0
SKN
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 2
STR
38%
25%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |