LASK vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
LAS
1 - 1
WAC
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
VIE
1 - 1
LAS
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
LAS
2 - 2
GRA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
RAP
6 - 0
LAS
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
AUS
1 - 0
LAS
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1978 |
STR
1 - 1
AUS
35%
26%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1978 |
STR
1 - 0
WIE
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
1 - 1
STR
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
LIN
1 - 0
STR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |