Larsnes / Gursken vs Hødd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larsnes / Gursken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ARD
3 - 1
LAR
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LAR
0 - 1
AIL
41%
22%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SUR
0 - 3
LAR
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 0
LAR
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 1
KBK
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FFK
2 - 1
HOD
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 1
TRO
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
HAM
0 - 1
HOD
48%
24%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
HOD
0 - 2
MJO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MJO
3 - 1
HOD
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |