Larne vs Warrenpoint Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 4
LOU
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 1
LAR
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 2
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 3
BAL
52%
22%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Warrenpoint Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
5 - 0
CRE
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 2
WAR
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WAR
4 - 1
LOU
71%
17%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WAR
3 - 1
KNO
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WAR
1 - 0
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |