Larne vs PSNI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LAR
6 - 0
LIM
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 3
LAR
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
KNO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 3
LAR
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LAR
4 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
PSNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PSN
0 - 0
BAL
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 3
PSN
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PSN
3 - 2
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 2
PSN
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
PSN
1 - 0
LIM
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |