Larne vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
80
1º
7º
1º
17
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 4
LAR
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |