Larne vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DER
2 - 2
LAR
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 2
LCE
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
KNO
1 - 3
LAR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 1
PSN
24%
24%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
LAR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAL
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
LOU
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
HAR
43%
24%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PSN
1 - 2
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
LAR
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |