Larne vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 1
LAR
15%
19%
66%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
LAR
14%
23%
63%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |