Larne vs Knockbreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
16%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10%
2.7%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 4
LAR
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
LAR
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 0
NEW
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 4
BAL
13%
18%
69%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
DER
5 - 0
KNO
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KNO
0 - 2
POR
19%
21%
61%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
KNO
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 3
ARD
19%
20%
62%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |