Larne vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
2 - 3
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
LAR
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 3
DUN
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
6 - 0
GLE
40%
24%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
CLI
18%
23%
60%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
INS
3 - 0
HAR
54%
22%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
1 - 3
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |