Larne vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
NEW
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
LAR
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 2
LAR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 4
LAR
22%
22%
56%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
GLE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 4
DER
20%
22%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 1
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
GLE
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
KNO
0 - 4
GLE
7%
13%
81%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |