Larne vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
GLE
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CLI
2 - 1
LAR
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 4
LAR
10%
20%
71%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 4
CRU
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 3
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 2
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 3
CRU
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |