Larne vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 1
LAR
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 0
LAR
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
3 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 2
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
WAR
77%
15%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
2 - 1
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 3
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |