Larne vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
58
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAR
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
LAR
10%
21%
69%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
5 - 1
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
3 - 0
BAL
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
DER
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 5
COL
14%
22%
63%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
COL
1 - 3
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |