Larne vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 2
LAR
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 0
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
LAR
28%
25%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
LAR
3 - 1
CSF
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LAR
4 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
COL
2 - 0
GLE
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
CRU
4 - 2
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
3 - 2
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 2
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
COL
3 - 0
DER
80%
15%
6%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |