Larne vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 0
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 3
LAR
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 0
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CLI
4 - 0
BRA
83%
11%
5%
|
69 | 14 | 55 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 0
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CLI
1 - 2
GLE
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
CLI
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |