Larne vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 0
LAR
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 0
LIM
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LAR
3 - 0
WAR
80%
15%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
LAR
16%
22%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 2
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
POR
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
0 - 4
CAR
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
COL
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 0
WAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |