Larne vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
4º
3º
32
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 55 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 45 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 40 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
90.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
1 - 1
LAR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
0 - 1
CLI
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 0
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 3
LAR
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
1 - 2
ARD
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
GLE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
BAL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |