Larne vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
KNO
1 - 1
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 2
LAR
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LCE
0 - 5
LAR
10%
17%
74%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
LAR
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LAR
3 - 0
DER
72%
16%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 0
LIM
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 3
DUN
29%
24%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 3
BAL
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |