Larkhall Athletic vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larkhall Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 0
MEL
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 2
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
MAF
24%
20%
56%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 2
BEM
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 4
LAR
43%
22%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
KIN
1 - 2
HOR
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 0
HOR
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
DOR
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 0
BRI
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |