FA Cup Previa 3
Global 1-9
Larkfield & New Hythe vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
73.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larkfield & New Hythe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LNH
3 - 1
LIN
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DUL
2 - 1
CRA
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 3
LEW
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 1
CRA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 2
CRA
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HTG
0 - 2
CRA
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |