Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
AEL Larisa vs Thrasyvoulos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
5 - 1
OFI
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PAN
2 - 0
LAR
65%
23%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
THR
1 - 0
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
IRA
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
XAN
1 - 1
LAR
51%
29%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thrasyvoulos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
THR
2 - 1
AIG
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
OLY
2 - 0
THR
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
THR
1 - 0
LAR
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
THR
0 - 0
KAL
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
ETH
2 - 1
THR
40%
29%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |