AEL Larisa vs Kozani FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
9º
2º
24
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 36 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 35 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 34 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 21 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
13º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
ANA
72%
20%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 0
LAR
13%
24%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ATR
4 - 0
LAR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
MYT
77%
17%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Kozani FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
1 - 0
APO
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 1
MAK
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 3
NIK
35%
29%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 0
MAK
44%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 0
LEV
18%
26%
56%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |