AEL Larisa vs Kastoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
PAN
0 - 1
LAR
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LAR
6 - 0
ATR
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
OLY
1 - 0
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LAR
2 - 1
NIK
38%
29%
33%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ILI
1 - 1
LAR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Kastoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
KAS
1 - 1
AKR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
PAN
1 - 0
KAS
44%
28%
28%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
APS
0 - 2
KAS
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
KAS
2 - 0
POS
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
LEV
2 - 0
KAS
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |