AEL Larisa vs Kastor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
LAR
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ETH
1 - 0
LAR
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 0
KER
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
KAS
0 - 2
LAR
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LAR
4 - 0
ODY
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kastor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
KAS
0 - 4
KAM
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 3
KAS
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
KAS
1 - 2
DOX
28%
25%
47%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
KER
0 - 2
KAS
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
KAS
2 - 0
AGI
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |