AEL Larisa vs Kalamata FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ETH
1 - 1
LAR
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 1
PAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
AEK
2 - 2
LAR
88%
9%
3%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
LAR
0 - 2
AEK
12%
20%
68%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
LAR
0 - 1
ACH
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kalamata FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
KAL
2 - 0
AKR
24%
27%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAN
2 - 0
KAL
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
KAL
1 - 2
LEV
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
KAL
1 - 0
NIK
35%
31%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAT
2 - 0
KAL
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |