AEL Larisa vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
AEK
1 - 1
LAR
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 0
OLY
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
APS
3 - 1
LAR
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
LAR
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
IRA
0 - 1
APS
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
IRA
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
OLY
61%
24%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
AEK
1 - 0
IRA
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
LAR
55%
26%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |