AEL Larisa vs Ethnikos Piraeus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
ARI
3 - 0
LAR
47%
29%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
LAR
0 - 2
AEK
35%
31%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
PAN
1 - 3
LAR
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
LAR
0 - 0
OLP
30%
30%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
LAR
0 - 0
PAO
31%
30%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Piraeus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
ETH
2 - 2
PIE
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
ATH
2 - 1
ETH
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
ETH
1 - 3
PAS
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1991 |
ETH
2 - 1
ARI
32%
30%
38%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
AEK
3 - 0
ETH
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |