Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
AEL Larisa vs Dinamo Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SER
0 - 1
LAR
100%
0%
0%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
LAR
2 - 1
SER
2%
20%
79%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
LAR
2 - 0
BFC
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
BFC
1 - 1
LAR
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 0
LAR
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
HAM
0 - 1
DIN
24%
22%
54%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
DIN
5 - 0
HAM
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
HKS
2 - 5
DIN
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
DIN
1 - 0
HKS
48%
24%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
DIN
0 - 1
SLA
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |