AEL Larisa vs Diagoras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
3º
1º
1
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
3 | 37 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 34 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 27 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 26 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 25 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 25 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 22 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 20 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
1 | 20 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 13 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 81.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
PAN
56%
23%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 1
AOK
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MKN
0 - 0
LAR
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 3
LAR
4%
10%
87%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
KIF
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Diagoras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DIA
0 - 0
KAL
15%
23%
62%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
DIA
0 - 0
MKN
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THK
0 - 2
DIA
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 0
DIA
16%
23%
60%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
GIO
0 - 0
DIA
31%
28%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |