AEL Larisa vs Diagoras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
0 - 3
LAR
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 0
PGE
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAR
5 - 2
ANA
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 1
LAR
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 0
LAR
13%
26%
61%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Diagoras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
DIA
0 - 2
PIE
26%
28%
46%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
DIA
0 - 1
GIA
13%
21%
66%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VER
2 - 0
DIA
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
DIA
0 - 1
VYZ
22%
27%
51%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAN
1 - 0
DIA
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |