Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
AEL Larisa vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BUD
0 - 2
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
RMA
1 - 0
BUD
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
BUD
1 - 0
SCP
38%
25%
38%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
SCP
0 - 2
BUD
82%
12%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
0 - 3
BUD
26%
22%
52%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |