Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
AEL Larisa vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 1
LAR
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
APO
1 - 2
LAR
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
PAN
1 - 2
LAR
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
LAR
1 - 1
PAN
27%
28%
44%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ERG
2 - 0
LAR
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CHL
0 - 0
BBU
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BBU
1 - 0
MAC
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
BBU
2 - 0
MYP
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 1
BBU
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
BBU
1 - 1
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |