AEL Larisa vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
OLP
2 - 1
LAR
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
LAR
3 - 0
EDE
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
LAR
1 - 0
IRA
38%
30%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
AEK
2 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
LAR
0 - 0
PAS
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
ARI
2 - 1
PIE
62%
24%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
OFI
3 - 1
ARI
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
ARI
4 - 1
PAN
47%
29%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1992 |
DOX
0 - 2
ARI
48%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
ARI
1 - 1
ATH
50%
29%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |