AEL Larisa vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
XAN
6 - 2
LAR
54%
26%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
LAR
1 - 2
AEK
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
DOX
2 - 0
LAR
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
LAR
0 - 1
IRA
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
LAR
1 - 1
OLP
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAN
62%
24%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
LEV
4 - 1
ARI
28%
30%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
ARI
1 - 2
ATH
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
OFI
1 - 0
ARI
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
XAN
1 - 1
ARI
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |