AEL Larisa vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
PAN
4 - 1
LAR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
LAR
1 - 0
APO
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PAN
0 - 0
LAR
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
LAR
2 - 1
PAO
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
OLP
3 - 1
LAR
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
AEK
0 - 1
ARI
53%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
ARI
2 - 0
DIA
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
OLY
1 - 1
ARI
25%
28%
48%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
ARI
1 - 0
DOX
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
LEV
1 - 1
ARI
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |